Updating the post: Who does A-Rod’s PR? I know he hired Outside Eyes, which is obviously a misnomer as even Yes MSG, with its limited PR experience, knows that there are a few strategies you implement, as opposed to what A-Rod did. For example:
- Take the 5th. Essentially, this is what McGwire did. He did not implicate himself of anyone else. You can debate the merits of that, but it is better than lying
- Pretend you don’t understand the questions. Best exemplified by Sammy Sosa, who ‘no speako the ingles’ in front of Congress. Sure, A-Rod has lived his entire life in FLA, WA, TX and NY, but he is a dual citizen with the Dominican Republic, so always a possibility
- Man-up. This seems to be the Pettitte way. Personally, I think that Pettitte did not tell the ENTIRE truth — just two times, recovering from industry, sure! But it was believable enough, no inconsistencies, and perhaps he did not reveal anything, but at least it is supposed to have not lied
Instead, A-Rod makes lame excuses — young, stupid — and has inconsistencies — drug was not available over the counter in Dom Republic. Also claims he was experimenting, for THREE YEARS? And now there is evidence that A-Rod has a relationship with a doctor who has a sketchy past with Steroids. Maybe only smoke, but considering all the other evidence, he does not get the benefit of the doubt.
Outside Eyes should go out of business. Give him 5 talking points, make an apology, and move on. Why “come clean” [pun intended] with rambling statements that only bring up more questions. That is the WORST PR strategy. But at least it gives us all something to blog about and to take glee in the schadenfreude.
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Original Post
So A-Rod has his press conference. It was covered ad nauseum. He was y0ung and stupid; his ‘cousin’ injected him; he did not know what it was although it was called “boli;” and he thanked his teammates, who were totally non-plussed. My main question was actually: Who does his makeup? Seriously, he has an orange (fake) tan, his skin has the closest shave such that it like he has never seen a razor, and he always uses just the right shade of lipstick. He should walk the red carpet at the Oscars in a dress by Narciso Rodriguez (no relation).
Actually, the best part of the press conference was this mathematically-challenged question from a reporter: “So A-Rod, you admit to injecting yourself twice a month over three years, so that is at least 36 times, and you did not know what you were taking?” 36? Um, Einstein, 2x a month is 24 times a year. Over 3 years would be 72 times, but who is counting? Oh, that is right; you are!
Now before I get to the HR adjustment, I have a prediction: A-Rod will suck this year. There is no way a guy that fragile will be able to put all the questions and further allegations behind him. Wait until he gets to Boston. Even polite little Seattle will let him have it. And it is obvious that his teammates and the organization would like to be rid of him. Jeter said he “was a teammate and that they would support him,” but also went on to point out that not everyone was doing it. GM Cashman pointed out how A-Rod was an asset, and they had to protect that asset – how personal, an Asset! And Jorge Posada supposedly left the press conference in the middle. With a network of supporters like that, I am sure he will be able to handle the Bronx pressure better than he has in the past. His own teammates do not accept him; and A-Rod wants nothing more than to be liked. Oops.
Lastly, and in the comment of the day, Johnny Damon, when asked what A-Rod could have done that would have been worse, replied: “Murder Someone.” Gotta love Johnny Damon. He did not refer to himself and his Boston teammates as “Idiots” without good reason!
But now to the HR totals. One interesting tidbit that came out of this investigation were A-Rod’s Games Played and HR totals during the three years (according to A-Rod) that he used Primobolin. When compared with the rest of his career, he averaged around 13 more games and 15 more HRs during these years. So of his 553 HRs, you can presume that 15 a year (45 HRs) are illegit. So that would give his a total of 553 HRs a more realistic total of 508. So sets him back a bit in his pursuit of Bonds, speaking of which:
Barry had 762 HRs, using Alex as a proxy, and presuming that Barry juiced for 8 years, conservatively, then he has an extra 12o HRs. So his 762 would be 642 if he had not juiced. Still good enough for 4th place behind Godfather Willie Mays at 660.
So there you go, each year of roid use is worth about 15 dingers. Sure, I did not normalize for stadiums and other variables, but what do I look like, a statististician.
But at least A-Rod’s ‘roid sage has shed some light on the HR value of Steroids! Now we can normalize all the records.
Maybe he will right a book — The User’s Guide to Statistics!