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Archive for December, 2008

BCS+ Football Extravaganza

Posted by msgpdr on December 31, 2008

New Year’s Eve is here and Yes MSG is way behind on the blog.  And I know that my loyal reader is at home over the holidays and has nothing else to do, so apologies.  With some much to cover, let me provide a Table of Contents:

  1. Pacific Life Holiday Bowl Review
  2. BCS Bowl Games
  3. Non-BCS Bowl Games

1. Holiday Bowl: Well I have to admit, that my viewing of the Holiday Bowl was interrupted by my boy, Yes RPG. As my consistent reader knows (thanks GenoB), I have viewed many a game because I had to be home for the boy.  This was payback I guess.  I had the fortune to view the scoreless second quarter, but during the majority of the 2nd half, I had to continually return to his room to get him to sleep.

So why does this matter?  We, because each time I returned to the TV, someone had scored.  Each deviation from his bed resulted in a touchdown.  Uncanny.  But in summary:

- Oregon looks like trouble for my Golden Bears and even the Trojans next Year.  Jeremiah Johnson (the Mountain Man) graduates, but QB Jeremiah Masoli (Masoli, I believe, means “Mountain Man” in a Southern Pacific dialect) can throw and run OVER people.  How the Bears missed this SF CC guy is beyond me.  Add in the awesomely named LeGarrette Blount, go to You Tube to see his TD run, and you too will Fear the Duck.  Cal is already playing for the Brut Sun Bowl next year :(

2.  BCS Bowl Games:

- Rose Bowl: USC v Penn State.  Confident that the Pac 10 goes 5-0 after this one (3-0 as of this writing).  Big 11 is overrated, and Penn State has no “O.”  So there you go.  However, watch for USC Song Girls and to see a bunch of First Rounders in the 2009 NFL Draft.

- Orange Bowl: Cincinnati v Va Tech.  My gosh, do you remember when the Orange Bowl had the (good) Nebraska Teams, the Hurricanes, etc.  Now we get a basketball school v a school that had 6 TD passes this past season.  Snooze.

- Sugar Bowl: Utah v Alabama.  Even though Alabama’s LT is out for contact with an agent, because the deal just WOULD NOT HAVE BEEN THERE on Friday, and just because 12 Alabama players have been arrested in the past two years, does not mean that the Tide will not unfortunately roll Utah.

- Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State v Texas.  I cannot stand Mack Brown, as we all know, and would like to see his Vince Young built legacy destroyed by losing to a boring Big 11 conference redemption seeking Ohio State.  OK, don’t see it happening, but you gotta start the new year with dreams.  At least watch to see Tyrelle Pryor, OSU QB.

- FedEx BCS National Championship Game: (All I know is that I am going to send so many packages via FedEx thanks to their sponsorship of this game.)  Everyone figures the SEC and FLA are too well balanced especially on D.  Some are starting to discount the Big 12 South since Ok State lost to Oregon (see above), but Yes MSG has realized he will be on a plane during the game, so not going to even bother previewing as I am still too angry that work gets in the way of my sports viewing.

3. Non-BCS Bowl Games (really, do ANY of these bowls deserve to be played in 2009?  What is the difference between them and the Las Vegas Bowl?  May, they have devalued my childhood memories of epic New Year’s day Matchups (I know, this is the Yes MSG version of “You kids get off of my lawn”)):

- Outback Bowl: South Carolina v Iowa – battle of two disappointing head coaches — Spurrier and Ferentz

- Capital One Bowl: Georgia v Michigan State — Javon Ringer (MSU) and (the best named) Knowshon Moreno (UGA) are both awesome running backs.  This worth checking out.

- Gator Bowl: Nebraska v Clemson.  Really?  8-4 Cornhuskers v “The Upsetters of Penn State” so watch as a thank you to Iowa for keeping the Nittany Lions out of the BCS Title Game

- Cotton Bowl: Mississippi v Texas Tech — Crabtree

- Liberty Bowl: Kentucky v East Carolina — Kentucky was 6-6.  If this is not the lowest rated bowl of all time, I will eat my hat

- International Bowl: Buffalo v Connecticut — Wow, I did not know that Buffalo and / or Connecticut were in foreign countries.

- GMAC Bowl: Ball State v Tulsa — I guess we at least know where our $6B GMAC bailout money is going.  Check out Nate Davis

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Posted by msgpdr on December 28, 2008

So just have to give into my blogging Jones at the end of a long week.  You see, Yes MSG has been almost confined to the house due to a once in 20 year snowstorm here in Seattle, and have been mostly home with a three year old for 11 days (no day care).  Love my son, but going crazy!

Anyway, did not see as much football as I would have liked, but here is what I think about what I saw.

But first a note from our sponsor as I hope for peace in the Middle East based on the fact that my Hanukkah candles were made in Turkey.

– I am an anti-multi tasker.  Oh, I do it, but I think it just means you do a lot of things poorly, instead of any one thing well.  TV programs, and especially sports shows, reinforce this with their TV screens, that show the Talking Heads, have a side bar with what is coming up, and usually two tickers running below (with one annoyingly displaying the final results of the game highlights playing above).

So what does this mean:  well, during Sunday night’s AFC West battle for divisional mediocrity, there was a camera shot of the fine Charger Cheerleaders, who, we know, toil for like $50 a game.  These ladies were out there giving 110%, braving brutal elements (for SD, where the temp was below 70), displaying the results of hours and hours of practice with a routine set to something like Def Leppard’s “Pour Some Sugar On Me.”

And what does NBC do?  Place a graphic of the score, time remaining, etc. right over the cheerleaders.

Hey, Einstein in the Director’s chair, how hard is it to give these women their due?  I can wait for the score when you return from the commercial break.  Let me appreciate the choreography.  Sheesh!  Any drunkard in the stands could have handled this better.  There are times when we do NOT need to be inundated with information and should be allowed to appreciate the unique talents of these hard working women.

On to the games.

College:

  • If you did not watch (the highlights of) the Meineke Car Care Bowl, not only did you miss one of my favorite college players of all time, Pat White, WV QB, who is only player in NCAA history to start and win 4 bowl games at QB, but you also missed a collection of the sickest catches by a single player — Hakeem Nicks of North Carolina.  Check out this link, and then go to You Tube for more if you want.  Add Nicks to Crabtree and Dez Bryant for future NFL stars at WR, unless drafted by the Lions.
  • ND won its bowl game over a second place WAC team — Hawaii, and they make it sound like Jimmy Claussen and Charlie Weis have turned the corner.  Whatever.
  • Cal is totally mediocre, barely beating a middling ACC team with a freshman and first time starter at QB in The U.  But I will take our (Jahvid) Best, who was awesome!  Gives me hope for making the Capital One bowl or something next year.

Pro:

  • I have never seen more teams with their destiny in their own hands stink it up as we have over the past two weeks in the NFL.  I think that last week 6 teams had their destiny in their own hands and all lost.  This week:
  • The Bears lost to Houston
  • The Bucs lost for the fourth straight game, and to Oakland — the Raidahs?  Got to be kidding me.  Gruden should be fired.  He won his Super Bowl with Tony Dungy’s players
  • The Cowboys absolutely STUNK it up against the Iggles, losing 44-6.  Oh how I loved that.  44-6!  And to make matters worse for the Pokes, the Iggles got the last playoff spot since the two aforementioned teams above lost.  Of couse, last week, the Eagles blew it against Washington, but at least given a chance at redemption, they stuck it to “America’s Team.”  Yes MSG prediction: despite the fact that Jerry says no coaching change will take place, Wade (Son of Bum) Phillips will step down for some contrived reason.  Since Garrett is obviously not ready though, not sure who is head coach.
  • The NY Favre’s tanked against the Dolphins.  In fact, in finishing 1-4 down the stretch, Brett threw 2 TDs and 9 (NINE!) INTs.  His QB rating never was above 65 and he finished with back to back sub-50 performances.  His season long rating was 84.  And against the AFC and NFC West — the two worst divisions in the NFL — he went 3-5.  Nice way to tarnish your legacy with indecision, selfishness, and then backing it up with poor performances.  Think the NY fans want Pennington back? (I am not saying Aaron Rodgers is the second coming of Brett, but with a QB rating he might be the 2nd coming of 35 year old Brett.) Yes MSG update: Favre, who reportedly did not like playing for Mangini, just got him fired.

Check back later this week for more Bowl and Football thoughts.

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The Yanks

Posted by msgpdr on December 24, 2008

We take a time out from this year’s bowl games to comment on the Yanks.

Teixeira at $180M

CC at $161M

AJ Burnett at $82M

Math is not my strong suit, but that is about $423M.

Add in A-Rod at $275M and Jeter at $189M, and we are talking $887.  I don’t even have to look up Damon, Matsui, Cano, Rivera, and Posada to know that their payroll commitments total over $1B.  No wonder they needed taxpayer assistance for the new stadium.

Makes baseball a joke to me.  Sure, you never know who is going to win — see Phillies and TB Rays last year — but the out-of-whack-ness in salaries makes it a less interesting sport. 

Of course, the Yanks have set the highest bar ever — win the World Series or be a failure.  That pressure should help A-Rod focus on in the postseason.   And it gives all of us someone to root against as hard as we can, except for the obnoxious Yankee fans who will someone equate a potential World Series victory with justice and good pitching and defense, not a $1B payroll.

As a correlation, though, can Red Sox Nation stuff it.  Look, we all loved 2004.  Greatest comeback, etc. but since then we have all had enough.  You are hardly David v Goliath.  More like the Titans v the Gods.  Sure, Prometheus v Zeus was not the fairest fight, but that makes the Royals the attendants in the “vomitorium.”

One quick non-baseball note:

1) ND destroys Hawaii in The Hawaii Bowl.  BFD.  Look, Andre Ware seems to be the best commentator out of all the crappy Heisman winning QBs (see Ty Detmer, Geno Torretta, Eric Crouch, Jason White, Matt Leinart), but he kept talking about the resurrection of ND Football.  Um, Andre, Hawaii was 7-6 and second in the WAC.  Shall I call it the WACK?  I hope the ND faithful are so excited with such a tremendous bowl win, and if they are, well how far the mighty have fallen.

Of course, ND will probably use this to vault to 7-5 next year since they get both Washington (0-12 this year) and Washington State (2-10).  But as far as being BCS competitive…..

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Part II: Poulan/Weedeater Independence Bowl Preview

Posted by msgpdr on December 19, 2008

Updated with Bowls through Dec 31st.  Ones you should watch are in Bold

Part II

  • Independence Bowl — 12/28 5:15pm PDT
    Northern Illinois v Lousiana Tech

    Louisiana Tech gave us Terry Bradshaw.  This should be the Bradshaw Bowl — it would get more viewers.

  • Papajohns.com Bowl — 12/29 12pm PST
    NC State v Rutgers

    I believe I wrote this last year, but if Papajohns is a pizza company, why is this a Dot Com bowl?  On another note, a couple of years ago Rutgers (The State University of New Jersey) rose from the ashes and Greg Schiano, the coach, was wooed by the likes of Miami.  He remained loyal.  Commendable.  Stupid, but commendable.

  • Valero Alamo Bowl — 12/29 5pm PST
    Missouri v Northwestern

    OK, with oil at <$40 per barrel, we are lucky we even have this game.  When oil was at $160 a barrel, this bowl was headed for a New Years Day date, if not a  BCS designation.While it has two contestants that historically have poor football programs, they do have tremendous journalism programs.  The articles written about the game, should be Pulitzer quality even if the play on the field is not — other than Jeremy Maclin of Missouri, who can flat bring it.  (I know that many of you are thinking “Missouri?  Journalism School?”  But true.  And the use of hte word Journalism supposedly excludes Columbia, also knows for crap football, even in the Ivy League, as that is a “Communications” School.  See, this is the knowledge that Yes MSG can drop because I am an insomniac that watches too much Mike (Greenberg) and Mike (Golic) in the Morning.

  • Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl — 12/30 1:30pm PST
    Maryland v Nevada

    Blue Turf.

  • Texas Bowl — 12/30 5pm PST
    Western Michigan v Rice

    OK, Pat Forde says this will be the first bowl victory for Rice in 54 years or the first for W. Mich EVER.  In short, who cares.  (PS – they say that Rice is a fine academic institution, but if the students were so smart, why would they go to school in Houston?)

  • Pacific Life Holiday Bowl — 12/30 5pm PST
    Oklahoma State v Oregon

    I admit that this bowl always ticks me off as the SECOND PLACE PAC 10 TEAM gets this crap bowl, while #6 in the Big 10 gets one of those Faux New Years’ Day bowl games.  However, this should be an epic matchup.  Both run the ball ridiculously well, and Ok State also has All-American receiver Dez Bryant who has mitts with stickum.  Definitely check this one out.  Don’t even need a Gundy “I’m a Man, I’m 40″ rant to make it entertaining.

  • Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl — 12/31 9am PST
    Houston v Air Force

    Armed Forces Bowl.  Sponsored by Bell Helicopters.  Air Force in the game.  Fixed.

  • Brut Sun Bowl — 12/31 11am PST
    Oregon State v Pittsburgh

    Another great bowl association for the Pac 10 — this is the 3rd place bowl game.  Surprisingly, it is AFTER the second place Bowl Game (aforementioned Holiday Bowl).  Regardless, Oregon State was one home victory away from the Rose.  Got killed by Oregon and instead of a BCS Bowl, end up here in a bowl sponsored by a cologne that has not been popular since Joe Namath played.  Kids should be motivated.

  • Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl — 12/31 12:30pm PST
    Boston College v Vanderbilt

    Vandy has not been to a bowl game since 1984.  They have hotter chicks.  They will lose.

  • Insight Bowl — 12/31 2:30pm PST
    Kansas v Minnesota

    Minnesota had a great start to the season then lost its last four, but hey, a bowl has to eat.  Kansas has a coach who is almost comical to look at — Jabba the Hut-esque.  My dream is that for winning, Coach Mangino gets free Bariatric Lapbelt Surgery.(Note, this bowl has been around for a while and I still don’t know who or what Insight is.)

  • Chick-Fil-A Bowl — 12/31 4:30pm PST
    LSU v Ga Tech

    This game supplants the titular Poulan/Weedeater Bowl as the best named.  And like the Poulan / Weedeater, most unmemorable bowl matchups.

OK, that covers all the games up to Janaury 1, when the traditional bowls start.  You know, like the Outback Bowl and the Konica Minolta Gator Bowl.

Tune in the week of Dec 28th as I cover all the rest of the games in a two part series: BCS Bowls and “Games that happen in the New Year but we are not sure why” Bowl Games.

Posted in Football | Tagged: | 2 Comments »

Poulan / Weedeater Independence Bowl Preview

Posted by msgpdr on December 18, 2008

Just trying to get in under the wire, as the bowls start tomorrow 8am PST.  Plus, as my loyal long term reader knows, this is where I got my start with an elongated bowl preview last year as one of the first Yes MSG Blogs.  So in honor of the best bowl name ever, here we go.

[Of course, no Yes MSG post would replete without one, at least, digression.  Today's?  Evander Holyfield.  Guy has earned like $250M in purses over his career, yet is in debt like 10s of millions.  It does not help that he has 11 kids by 9 women.  Which makes me wonder why Shawn Kemp (7 by 6) or Travis Henry (9 by 9) are the standardbearers for athletic procreation.  Evander may suck as a heavyweight, but he should definitely be the titleholder in the Fecundity category.  Ok, back to the bowls.]

  • Eagle Bank Bowl — 12/20 8am PDT
    Navy v Wake Forest

    This is a great bowl in case you missed the first encounter between these SAME TWO TEAMS earlier this year.  I think Navy one.  Anyway, if you have to root for someone, root for Navy or the terrorists win.  Plus, Wake is a Baptist school, so don’t support dancing.Oh, this will be the last year for Eagle Bank unless it gets the money meant for Lehman. 

  • New Mexico Bowl — 12/20 11:30am PST
    Colorado State v Fresno State

    Why do you have a bowl game named for any place that is not Hawaii?  I know that New Mexico is nice, but if you wanted it to be truly interesting, the Taos Bowl would be better.  Which reminds me that the last/one time I was in New Mexico I ran into one of the hottest girls from my high school whose butt had grown to be 3 times its previous size, and I had not even graduated college yet.  That story was more interesting than the game will be. 

  • MagicJack St. Petersburg Bowl — 12/20 1:30pm PST
    Memphis v South Florida

    Again, a weird destination bowl — St. Pete?  Heck, Tampa is more interesting, and the South Beach bowl would be even better.  But MagicJack?  That is some technology.  Get rid of your phone line, or better yet, plug it into your computer, and save tons on phone calls.  I think they even give you the first year for like $20 and a set of Ginsu knives. 

  • Pioneer Las Vegas Bowl — 12/20 5pm PST
    BYU v Arizona

    This is the fourth time in a row that BYU has ended up in Las Vegas.  As if the economy and housing bubble were not enough, every December, Vegas is inundated with fan who don’t drink or smoke and perhaps not even gamble.  I am expecting the Las Vegas Bowl to ask Congress to ban the WAC from it bowl going forward. 

  • R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl — 12/21 5:15pm PST
    Southern Miss v Troy

    OK, Brett Favre’s alma mater v Osi Umenyiora’s.  Best I can do.  Undoubtedly will be more enthralling than the NFL’s Carolina Panthers v the defending SB Champ NY Giants in the Meadowlands.  Search for it on your dial. 

  • San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl — 12/23 5pm PST
    Boise State v TCU

    This is the first game worth watching.  BSU was undefeated and TCU had the 2nd ranked D in the nation, and only had two losses.  Great mid-majors – defined as non-BCS schools.  Yes MSG says check it out.
  • Sheraton Hawaii Bowl — 12/24 5pm PST
    Hawaii v Notre Dame

    Charlie Weis in a Hawaiian shirt.  ND losing to Hawaii after re-upping Charlie for next year.  Good times! 

  • Motor City Bowl — 12/26 4:30pm PST
    Florida Atlantic v Central Michigan

    Here is where your bailout money is going.  

  • Meineke Car Care Bowl — 12/27 10am PDT
    West Virginia v North Carolina

    Pat White.  If you know who he is, watch.  If you don’t, skip it. 

  • Champs Sports Bowl — 12/27 1:30pm PST (Bold not for the game, but for the link below)
    Wisconsin v Florida State

    I have hit the wall.  I cannot possibly say anything of interest about this bowl unless the broadcast results in the discovery another Jenn Sterger.  (Note, she is on the right.) 

  • Emerald Bowl — 12/27 5pm PST
    Miami v California

    I want Cal to win of course, but you have to recognize when your opponent has more talent.

     

miami_clicks.jpg 

OK, that is your first week.  Tune in later for Dec 28th to the end of Bowl season, and another posting on BCS bowls as well.  At least, that is the plan.

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Playoff, and Best Conference

Posted by hagwellk on December 17, 2008

Before the season started, I posted a case for the need for a playoff in college football. And this season only reinforces my belief in that this is the only reasonable way to select a national champion in college football.  I still believe this to be true.  And I believe that the best conference should be based upon bowl record of participating schools.

This season, there were two undefeated teams – Utah and Boise State. Neither are playing in national championship game.

You have seven one-loss teams. Including the kissing-cousin situations of Texas Tech beating Texas who beat Oklahoma who beat Texas Tech … Florida, who lost to Ole Miss, who Alabama beat, but who lost to Florida. You have USC, who essentially only had one bad half of football all season, but that resulted in a loss to Oregon State, but who also throttled Virginia and Ohio State in non-conference play. Finally there is Penn State, who I typically think as one of the more overrated programs in the country, but remains in the thick of the conversation this year and showed that they’re likely a more legit team than other seasons. But of all these 1-2 loss teams, who deserves to play? Should be USC and Florida, sadly it won’t be. I could care less whether it’s Texas or Oklahoma … because either would get steamrolled by the Gators.

My prediction – Oklahoma gets rolled by Florida in the title game. Their offense which has scored 60+ points in five (?) straight games, won’t get half that many against the Gators. They have a history of choking – don’t just think Boise State or West Virginia, think 35-7 shellacking to a crappy Kansas State team to keep them out of the BCS title game in 2003 and was blown out by USC 55-19 in 2004. The only game worth watching this season is a USC – Florida game. They are the two most talented teams in the country, offensively and defensively. Both had hiccups against b-grade teams this year, yes, but some of that may have been playing down to competition. While not an excuse, these guys play their best against the best teams. Florida took care of Alabama without their best offensive players in Percy Harvin and two starting d-lineman. USC is also just a machine – Emmanuel Moody transferred from USC b/c he didn’t think he’d ever get to play – and where did he transfer to? Florida. Not good enough to play at SC but good enough at Florida. Says a lot about what Pete Carroll has done in L.A. Over time, these two teams, I believe will continue to dominate their conferences. USC will win the Pac-10 more consistently than Floriday winning the SEC, and Nick Saban or no Nick Saban, or Les Miles or no Les Miles, or (insert any SEC coach here), over time, I don’t believe any SEC team will keep up with what Urban Meyer is doing in Gainesville. He won’t win every title, but it’ll be Florida and everybody else in that league for years to come.

Now, onto which is the best conference. This is typically an emotional argument, which is flawed. My formula for this is simple. Who has the best record in bowl games. Why does this work? Because it’s the only reasonable measure of like-ranked teams playing out of conference schools.  I don’t think it’s reasonable to evaluate a program based solely on in-conference schedules.  LSU is a great example – this year – their non conference schedulewas  Troy, North Texas, Appalachian State, Tulane.  A joke.  When it comes to non-conference, nobody plays a better schedule than USC.  This year alone they played Ohio State, Virginia, Notre Dame.   While we like to joke about the Irish, they aren’t Appalachian State, North Texas, Troy, or Tulane.  Go look at their non-conference schedule over past 6-7 years, it’s the best in the country.  But to have the “my conference is better than your conference argument” is the “my mom is prettier than your mom” argument that was had on the first grade playgrounds.  So long as conferences are playing most of the games against themselves, with many powers playing patsies in non-conference games, it’s impossible to know and ridiculous to debate without great matchups out of conference, which sadly you only seem to get in the bowls.

So the bowls, as most reasonable as possible, offer the most “like” matchups from a conference.  #2 from Big 10 may play the #2 from the ACC or some other conference.  You can’t look at non-conference regular season schedules because Big 12 power team plays Big East Patsy doesn’t equate to relative conference strength.  Last year SEC took the cake with a 9-3 record, I’d presume this year it will be similar.  A guy at Michigan did an analysis on conference record over an extended period (he looked at records in 5 year increments, from 5-to-25 years).  If memory serves, the SEC was #1 with a 55% winning percentage, the Pac-10 second with 53% and Big 10 and Big 12 at 51% and 50% – or something close to that (I can’t find the analysis any longer).  What the analysis showed was that no conference was dominant.  Over time, the conferences are all much closer than any conference fan-boy would like to consider.  And different conferences have the best bowl record in 3-5 spans, so there is a balance of power that shifts.  Today’s conference that is down may be up in 5-7 years.  Whether that trend continues we’ll see.  Sports Illustrated surmises that it won’t, that the balance of power, given today’s athletes, will shift to warm weather schools.  Maybe, maybe not.

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Men Behaving Badly

Posted by msgpdr on December 4, 2008

The title and the sports-bias prevalent in Yes MSG would lead you to believe that I am to speak about:

1) Plaxico Burress — he of the bling-showing, sweatpants-wearing, Glock-carrying fame. Or

2) PacMan Jones — who is lucky that Commish Goodell did not think that a drunken fight with your bodyguard warranted season-long suspension.  Or

3) Stephon Marbury — self-proclaimed best point guard in the NBA despite never having won a playoff series in a 12 year career (but did earn $120M give or take)

But no; to some extent, we expect that type of behavior from our athletes.  After all, these guys most likely have always been popular, the most athletically gifted kids in the class, and have been enabled by those around them.  Which, instead, brings me to the perfecta of execs, who, if you presumably substitute “intellectually-gifted” for “athletically-gifted,” you end up with the 3 following beggars and their bogeyman:

Let me introduce:

  1. GM’s Rick (Off the) Wagoner
  2. Ford’s Alan (Mulligan) Mullaly
  3. Chrysler’s Bob Nards-delli
  4. UAW’s Ron Butterfinger (ok, Gettelfinger, but he should have changed his name as Gettelfinger is horrible)

These four and a bunch of others, have conspired to destroy billions in shareholder value, as well as burden the US-HQ’d auto industry with a cost disadvantage of approximately $2,000 per vehicle.  Considering the history of the Big Three, I am not certain I want to pay, say, 5% more just for it to be American-made.  And while we are on the topic of ‘buying American” consider if you will that Honda, Toyota, Mercedes and BMW all manufacture quality, elegant, desirable automobiles in the USA.  The issue is not the factory worker, it’s the bozo leadership.

Toyota and Nissan also survive (unlike Mercedes and BMW) on mass market automobiles, and last I checked they had not asked the governments of interest — Japan and France (Nissan owns Renault) for handouts, and we know the French love to give money to crap companies.  Come to think of it, maybe the Big 3 should all claim they are farming companies and Sarkozy will send some Euros their way.

Yet, while GM and others have lost 90+% of their value, Off the Wagoner has reportedly earned $100+M since 2000.  What kind of bonus package was that?  It is like giving A-Rod more millions for hitting above 0.150.  Mulligan, as that is what he should take on his Ford leadership, got like $20M last year.  And Nards, former GE protege of Jack, was once paid $200M to leave Home Depot.  How the heck he got another job is beyond me, unless you adhere to the Major League Baseball history of just hiring the nearest White Guy Retread (OK, worked with Charlie Manuel, but not so many others).

Now let’s add in Butterfinger, which pains me as it is my favorite Candy Bar, who has to have earned millions as head of something as large as the UAW.  One could probably consider him the second most powerful union boss in the world perhaps, right behind Lula Inacio da Silva, who parlayed a similar job into the Presidency of Brazil.  Now I know that the Union boss’s job is to negotiate the best package possible for his members, but part of the equation should be the actual survival of the industry you are in.  $60 per hour and healthcare is not worth quite as much if the company fails.  D’Oh.

So where does this leave us?  Well, these 4-in-a-box toolset, who all recently got $25B to assist with building fuel efficient vehicles, and who have already asked for extensions to meet the standards, are now asking for $34B.  The funny thing is that they came to DC two weeks ago asking for $25B.  However, having flown in three corporate jets, yet with no business plan, they are returning this week in hybrid cars and with business plans in presumably target recyclable carrying cases, but asking for an additional $9B.  How does that work?

(Speaking of corporate jets, here is a quick note – I am writing this in Coach on Continental Airlines at 35,000 feet where they are now playing the Mary Tyler Moore show.  Huh?  Low royalties?  This show was on before most passengers were born.  And to compound matters, the woman next to me, who reeks of cigarette smoke and feels very ill, is asking for Sprite and Apple Juice, and just SPIKED her soda with Vodka — Good Times!  Where is my corporate jet?)

These Bozos went back to Dearborn, actually did a biz plan, and said, “wait, we don’t need $25B, that was just back of envelope.  Now that we are using Excel, we need $34B.” Regardless, they now have a business plan, but this brings to mind another few concerns:

  • Yes MSG is a great fan of “Recovery Plans.”  Effectively, what you are saying is that there are all these things we can do to be successful, and we were going to do NONE OF THEM.  However, now that times are tough and expectations are not being met, like company survival, here are all the cool things we can do.  Should the Big Three and Mr. Candy Bar have thought of this before?
  • Yes MSG is also a fan of accuracy, not precision.  I am sure that the Business Plan is very precise, right down to the day and dollar when Detroit returns to the black.  However, the accuracy of that number and date might as well have been provided by a monkey with a calculator and a calendar.  Perhaps it was.  I have some faith that the cost items could be achieved, however, the $34B question is why should I believe that after three decades of the K-car, the Mercury Marquis and anything Oldsmobile, that these guys will design anything that ANYONE WANTS TO BUY?  The revenue line gives me pause, and while precise, I am equally certain, totally inaccurate.
  • Yes MSG is also a fan of fables, and this seems to be “Boys who Cried Wolf.”  These three have been bleeding market share for decades, with no discernible urgency.  Yet now I am supposed to believe that the economic crisis, which started in September, is why they are on the verge of bankruptcy.  Save me the “perfect storm” argument.  Sure, sales will be way down in Q4, which has not even ended, but that is the fine line between survival and failure?  If these businesses are so susceptible to a single down quarter, then I think I can find another place to spend $34B
  • Yes MSG is also a fan of expertise.  I already have questioned the expertise of these execs, who have failed during their tenures, doing a business plan for companies that have 30 years of poor performance, but lovely executive dining rooms I hear; but to compound matters, these plans are going to be evaluated by Barney Frank?  Christopher Dodd?  Members of Congress?  People whose expertise is at best law, and at worst, a$$-kissing.

Shouldn’t these plans be evaluated by seasoned professionals?  I don’t know, hmmm, perhaps people from the business community who have a specialty in evaluating business plans?  Maybe a combination of Private Equity firms, Venture Capitalists and Business School professors?  Heck, I would even be satisfied with my local 7-11 franchisee, who knows profit and loss, and gets NO bailout when the local construction crew’s site is closed down and they stop buying taquitos at 7am.  Or even outsource it to India, like everything else, as there is absolutely no shortage of brilliant MBAs there who would evaluate the plans objectively.

Now my loyal reader P-Dub has reminded me that Chrysler is already owned by a Private Equity firm, Cerberus Capital (cannot check as in the air).  So perhaps we should say an elite Private Equity firm, like KKR or Thomas H Lee.  For VC, Kleiner or Sequoia; not one of the valley one hit wonders.  Of course, the realization that Chrysler is owned by a Private Equity firm leads me to the following recommendation:

1) Chrysler: as a prize for needing government intervention twice in a generation, and for having been bought by, supposedly, shrewd investors, you get to go bankrupt.  No reason my tax dollars should give Nards or Cerberus ANY of my money.  Plus, everyone says that bankruptcy would be the death knell for the company.  Hey, I am a trained scientist, we have three candidates, let’s find out.

2) Ford: since you are the solvent one for the time being, you get your line of credit.  Personally, I would like you to go out of business just so that you have to sell the Detroit Lions and put us out of our Thanksgiving Day game misery, but that would be unfair, maybe.

3) GM: not sure what to do here.  Maybe you get the funds, to complete the trifecta — one failure, one line of credit to be accessed if needed, and one investment.  Seems fair.

Actually, I would prefer to force a merger of the three or a takeover by Nissan or Toyota, but that would be more challenging.

Now I know what you are all thinking?  What about the workers?  You, Yes MSG, admitted they are just as productive as their Asian-employed counterparts.  Perhaps, since we just saved BILLIONS by letting Chrysler go under and not investing (yet) in Ford, we use the excess monies to retrain workers.  That would be more effective and would help the little guy, not the boardroom.  My own back of the envelope calculation says that we could have $5-10,000 per worker.  That, my friends, is a lot or schooling.

Cool — 2 hour flight from Houston (George Bush Intercontinental Airport, which should be renamed George Herbert Walker Bush Intercontinental, just to avoid, you know, confusion) to Fort Lauderdale and Yes MSG, with a great assist from P-Dub and my Midwest correspondent, Jad-wurst, have solved the auto crisis.

Someone forward this to W and Obama.

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BCS on BTS

Posted by msgpdr on December 1, 2008

For those of you not particularly aware of Yes MSG abbreviations on the fly, the BTS is short for Big Twelve South, which the BCS decided by ranking Oklahoma ahead of Texas in its most recent poll.  I will get to this shortly, but to entice you, I must first cover some other important topics from the College Football Weekend (meaning that I will refrain from Plaxico Burress’ suspect decision to carry a loaded firearm into a club and promptly shoot himself).

As you know, all writers need and angle and I still am searching for mine; therefore, in honor of today’s announcement of President-elect Obama’s National Security Team, I will write this particular article with all the attention to grammar that our soon to be President shows, making a break with his Texas-reared predecessor, and metaphorically, impugning the Longhorns.  I will attempt to avoid slang, to use complete sentences, to ensure subject-verb agreement, and perhaps throw in the occasional pedantic use of a four syllable word.

  • Lane Kiffin?  Ok, you are the Univeristy of Tennessee.  You have just given Philip Fulmer a contract extension earlier this year despite a series of mediocre seasons.  Why?  Where would he have gone?  Mr. Fulmer was what one might call a Beltway Insider, and certainly incapable of functioning outside the coccoon of Knoxville.  Then when the program underperforms, expectedly based on recent trends, he is let go and in his place is hired Lane Kiffin? 

    Was it his tremendous stint coaching the Oakland Raiders?  Or perhaps his co-QB coach duties at USC?  Maybe it is the fact that his father, the estimable Monte Kiffin of the Tampa Bay Bucs, will likely join the staff.  Or finally, it might be how, given all of his previous success, Young Mr. Kiffin will be able to out-recruit national title coaches Urban Meyer, Nick Saban, Les Miles, even Steve Spurrier from the SEC.  And that does not count Mark Richt, who runs a fairly successful program at Georgia.

  • Now let us mention the Charlie Weis debacle.  As my loyal reader knows, I have never been a fan of Notre Dame, and certainly not of its current head coach, the schematically challenged Mr. Weis.  His arrogance was unfounded, inappropriate, and undeserved, especially as it is now all too obvious that Mr. Weis benefited from the presence of Mr. Belichick and Mr. Brady far more than they benefited from his (Brady v Belichick is a separate article). Last Saturday’s absolutely horrendous display, though, was almost too painful to read about.  The “Fighting” Irish managed all of 9 yards of offense in the first half, and did not record a single first down until the final play of the 3rd quarter.  They managed 4 first downs overall.  I find this unbelievable (Obama-speak for “Are you kidding me?).  No Division 1A (FBS) program should be so humiliated; especially one with Notre Dame’s pedigree.  It is as if the Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse have invaded the team, not the opposition.  Pestilence indeed. 

    Needless to say, Mr. Weis must decide to ’spend more time with his family.’  Anything else and one would have to conclude that the charges of racism, which Yes MSG never believed, are potentially with merit.  I am not suggesting that the administration is consciously acting as such, but it certainly would appear at least subconscious. 

    Also, considering that the administration overreacted after Charlie secured his most respected loss (he has no signature wins) against USC a few years ago with TYRONE WILLINGHAM’s players and gave him a $30M extension.  This was fiscal malfeasance on a scale of Tennessee with Phillip Fulmer, the SF Giants with Barry Zito, and AIG.  The Irish must not have a business school, as they were negotiating against themselves.  Since those players — Brady Quinn, Jeff Samardjiza (spelled correctly by Yes MSG on the second try — not bad!) graduated, Charles has gone 9-15, which is the worst two year record in ND history.  There is no compelling reasons to retain his services.  If they do, something sinister is at work  You, the reader can interpret the facts for yourself.

    Of course, I took little solace in this past week’s slaughter.  Charlie just became too big (pun intended) a target.  It was as if he came to ND stating that he was going to lose 150 lbs, and then watched him add weight by eating the post game buffet.  At first you ridicule, humorously, but then you just feel sad and want to turn away.Yet, on behalf of the 98% of football fans who, shall we say, do not care for Mr. Weis, we might actually prefer he stays around, if only not to watch some other coach lead 8-4 ND teams to BCS games in lieu of other, more deserving programs, like Boise State.

  • On the other side of the field, you have the Luck of the Trojans.  Sure, in mythology, they lost to the Greeks of Ulysses, but that was fiction.  The Oregon State Beavers, controlling their destiny, were absolutely dominated by the Oregon Ducks.  Jeremiah Johnson was a true mountain man, shredding OSU for 200 yards in the first half alone.  Disgraceful.  U$C must now only emerge victorious against cross town rival and floormat, UCLA, to wins its 6th (or 7th) successive Pac 10 title.To think that USC has benefited this year from an inexplicable Oregon State loss to Stanford, and that three years ago, when SC was upset by the Bruins, Cal’s loss to Arizona on numerous suspect penalties, allowed the Trojans to head to Pasadena.
  • The last topic before moving to the heart of the BCS matter is how the BCS in general can distort one’s inherent rooting interests.  Yes MSG tends to prefer the upset.  It is nice to see the underdog win, versus the expected named victor.  This is why we root against the Duke’s and UCLA’s of the basketball world, for instance.  Yet, if one cared at all, and you were intent on NOT seeing the Longhorns in Kansas City for the Big12 Championship game, then you would, by necessity, have been rooting for Cincinnati, as Oklahoma had beaten them, and for a Missouri loss, as Texas had beaten them.  This would affect the Strength of Schedule computer rankings, which would prove essential to promoting the Sooners ahead of the Longhorns.Nevertheless, unlike President-elect Obama, Yes MSG is not in favor of a playoff as he prefers the on-field drama of 13 weeks of College Football.  The error this time was the Big 12 tiebreaker relying on the BCS — other conferences leverage head to head and common opponents to decide.  Regardless….
  • Yes MSG has no Sympathy for Texas.  First of all:
    • It was a three way tie, not a two way tie.  Yes, Oklahoma did destroy Tech, but that does not vitiate the fact they all tied for the title; one cannot merely discard Tech since they lost in Norman.  Speaking of Tech, had UT’s safety not overrun the play and allowed Michael Crabtree to score on the penultimate play of the game, we would not be having this discussion.  In fact, even venerated write Gil Breton of the Star Telegram (a Texas) paper, makes an eloquent argument that would please even Grammarian in Chief, Obama.  People seem to have discounted Texas Tech, and that is not fair, especially when they staged a valiant comeback against Baylor despite their QB, Graham Harrell, having suffered 9 breaks in his non-throwing hand, and the loss of the aforementioned Crabtree, only the most accomplished receiver in College Football.Moreover, let’s not forget that had Oklahoma State upset Oklahoma, Texas Tech, not Texas, would have played Missouri in the Big 12 Title game.  Had Tech won that game, potentially, Tech would have watched a team they beat, Texas, go to the National Title game.  What would the pusillanimous Mack Brown have said about that? If head to head is what matters, well then I presume he would have voted Texas Tech ahead of the Longhorns in the Coaches’ Poll.
    • But the real reason that Texas lost was karma.  Seriously.  A few years ago, Cal Berkeley, who had lost one game only to top ranked USC in LA by 6 points was leapfrogged in the final coaches poll by the same Texas squad that had lost on a neutral field to Oklahoma.  Exactly how a Cal team that won on the road against a Bowl Bound Southern Mississippi Eagles team, which was only being played as a hurricane makeup game, to an idle Texas team perplexed most objective observers.This actually was when the BCS, and especially the ‘agenda-driven’ human voters “jumped the shark.”  (Note, there is no Obama-speak for ‘Jump the Shark.’  It’s place in the lexicon of cotidian vocabulary is an omnipresent and accepted as D’Oh and Strategery.)  The computers are only as flawed as the formulas; whereas, the individuals are as flawed as, well, individuals.  They have allegiances — conferences, coaching friends — and enemies, not to mention a complete inability to observe with any sagacious insight the performance of the majority of teams on which they must vote.
    • So, Mr. Brown once politicked his way into a BCS Rose Bowl, and now he must suffer at the hands of the same process that unfairly rewarded his whining.  I understand that the job of a coach is to support his team, but their should be an honor and integrity to the process.  Winning at all costs is a quaint concept, but this is COLLEGE FOOTBALL, not the Battle Against Terrorism
    • To continue with his reprehensible behavior and incessant complaining, I submit the following: while Mr. Brown thought it totally reasonable to politick for his team at the half of the Oklahoma v Oklahoma State game, Mr. Stoops, when presented the same opportunity to opine during Texas v Texas A&M, politely declined, as he did not think it “right.”  Furthermore, Pete Carroll, the coach of hated USC, had the integrity to state that the BCS stinks, even though his program was in more need of voter assistance to reach the title game than the other programs.And while Mack, it is hoped, simmers in his own pot of despair, let us not forget that undefeated teams like Boise State and Ball State will not even get major bowl games , much less BCS Bowl Games…so with the system tilted already toward the “Wall Street” of College Football, Mr. Mack Brown’s shouts of “bailout” fall on deaf ears. 

      He was not deserving of a BCS Bowl years ago, so any benefits he has reaped since then, and their have been many, are all undeserved.  Perhaps he an Mr. Weis should take a course together in “how not to F-ing annoy everybody so that when you need help, people don’t prefer that you rot in heck [sic].”

      Ok, the last sentence would never have been written by President-elect Obama.

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Sorting Out the BCS Mess

Posted by genob on December 1, 2008

So I spent the Thanksgiving weekend in the epicenter of college football, Norman, Oklahoma. 

No, I didn’t get to go to the game in Stillwater.  The ever-brilliant OSU Athletic Department decided to try to force their less than supportive fans to buy season tickets by implementing a policy prohibiting single game tickets for the always popular game against OU.  Translate:  if you wanteed to go to the OU game, you had to buy a season ticket.  So there were 10,000 empty seats, and I didn’t have to go to that god-forsaken hole that is Stillwater.  I watched what was an amazing game from Norman.  Sam Bradford may have won himself a Heisman Trophy as well.

The victory, on the road against a #12 OSU team turned out to be enough to vault Oklahoma to the top of a three team tie in the Big 12 South.  OU, Texas, and Texas Tech all are 7-1 in conference, 11-1 overall, with losses only to each other.  So no way to break the tie.,,,  (nevermind the NFL has a way to break these kinds of ties by using point differentials in games against each other and common opponents).  In their infinite wisdom, the Big 12’s 5th tiebreaker is higest rank in the BCS poll….

Despite some shameless politicking by the evil Mack Brown (who never did acknowledge that Texas actually lost a game to Texas Tech) that actually moved a lot of the human poll voters back to the Texas camp, the computers put OU in front and broke the tie.  OU will play for the Big 12 Championship against North division champ Missouri in Kansas City on Saturday….

Blessing or curse?  Won’t know until Saturday.  Yes it’s nice to control our own destiny (probably) to the BCS Championship.  But it’s practically a home game for Mizzou, and it will be cold and nasty at night in Kansas City.  Lose, and the pathetic horns probably go to the BCS Championship by sitting at home this weekend.  Hopefully the controversy will give OU a major chip on their shoulder.  And frankly, after watching the last two games, I don’t know how Missouri will keep OU to under 50 points.

The wailing and whining coming out of Austin, Texas is simply wonderful.  Mack Brown, the official most-hated-coach of this blog after his shameless whining in 2004 kept Cal from the Rose Bowl, definitely had it coming.

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